Search volume, difficulty and competition
Keyword numbers are estimates made in different ways by different tools. Learn what each metric measures, where it comes from, and how much to trust it.
- Time
- 18 min
- Level
- beginner
- Reviewed
- 5 November 2026
After this lesson you can
- Explain what Keyword Planner's volume, competition and bid metrics mean.
- Read Google Trends data correctly.
- Treat third-party difficulty scores as estimates, not facts.
- Prioritise keywords by relevance and value before volume.
Every keyword tool shows numbers that look precise. They are estimates, and knowing how they are made stops you from making confident decisions on weak data.
Keyword Planner metrics
Google's Keyword Planner is part of Google Ads. Google defines its main metrics like this:
| Metric | What it means |
|---|---|
| Avg. monthly searches | Average monthly searches for the keyword and its close variants, for your chosen location and network. By default it is averaged over 12 months, and the figures are rounded |
| Competition | How many advertisers showed ads on the keyword, relative to all keywords. Low, medium or high |
| Top of page bid (low and high) | Roughly the 20th and 80th percentile of what advertisers paid for top-of-page ads recently |
Practitioners widely report that accounts without active ad spend see ranges such as "1K–10K" instead of exact numbers. Google does not document this threshold, so treat it as common experience rather than a rule.
Google Trends
Trends shows relative interest, not search counts. Google takes a sample of searches, divides each data point by the total searches in that place and time, and scales the result from 0 to 100. Terms with very low volume show as 0.
Use Trends to answer questions like these:
- Is interest seasonal? Air conditioners peak in summer, and ski equipment peaks in winter.
- Is the topic growing or shrinking over several years?
- Which of two phrasings is more common?
Third-party tools
Paid tools such as Ahrefs, Semrush and SE Ranking estimate volume and keyword difficulty with their own data and models. Their methods are not public in full, and they often disagree with each other.
Prioritise by relevance and value first
A practical order for deciding which keywords to pursue:
- Relevance: would ranking for this bring people you can actually help?
- Business value: how close is the searcher to becoming a customer? Transactional and local keywords are usually closer than informational ones.
- Intent fit: can you create the type of page the results page shows?
- Achievability: who ranks now? Big brands and strong sites, or small sites like yours?
- Volume: only now, to choose between keywords that pass the first four tests.
Many good keywords show zero or "no data" in tools, especially in small markets. That does not mean nobody searches them. The next lesson deals with that directly.
Practice
Read the lesson, pass the quiz and do the exercise to complete it.
Knowledge check
5 questions. Get at least 4 right to pass.
Exercise: Score twenty keywords
Take 20 keywords from your keyword map. Look up each in Keyword Planner for your country, and compare a few in Google Trends. Then score each from 1 to 3 for relevance to the business and from 1 to 3 for business value, regardless of volume. Write down the five you would work on first and why.
Deliverable: The volume (or range) for each keyword, with its source, saved in your keyword map, plus your top five with a reason for each.
Sources
Checked against these sources on 5 November 2026. Next review by 5 May 2027.
- About Keyword Planner forecasts (what your historical metrics mean) (Google Ads Help, official)
- Use Keyword Planner (Google Ads Help, official)
- FAQ about Google Trends data (Trends Help, official)